United States US

Currency: USD. Central bank: Federal Reserve.

Macro read

Consolidated decision read: what to monitor, why it matters, and where the data is still thin.

Regime scenario

Medium risk

Reflation

Growth at or above trend with inflation above target.

Growth Moderate 5.1 · Inflation Above target 4.4 · weakest: Fiscal 2.5, External 2.9

What to monitor: Keep in monitoring rotation and watch the next high-impact releases.

growth momentuminflation trendcentral bank stance

Macro regime

Six dimensions, scored from 0 to 10. Radar shows the overall shape; cards show trend and label per dimension.

Growth

5.1Stable

moderate

Inflation

4.4Worsening

above target

Labor

4.8Stable

balanced

Monetary

5.0Worsening

neutral

External

2.9Stable

vulnerable

Fiscal

2.5Stable

expansive

Key indicators

Cross-country comparable indicators with 5-year micro history. Latest bar in gold; missing indicators render with a baseline.

GDP YoY

2.10%

CPI YoY

3.74%

Unemployment

4.10%

Fed Funds rate

3.88%

10y Treasury yield

5.10%

US Current account % GDP

-3.02% of GDP

Federal debt/GDP

121.19% of GDP

Fiscal balance % GDP

-5.75% of GDP

Upcoming Events

Scheduled releases in the next 60 days. Click an event title to open the indicator detail when available.

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