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Analytics
Macro Analytics
Global macro regime coverage, data quality and country sheets across developed and emerging markets.
Editorial read · 12-09-2026
In the macroeconomic landscape, the policy stance in the Eurozone and the UK is improving, contributing to positive growth trends (EU: 4.1, GB: 5.3). Inflation pressures are easing in Canada, the United Kingdom, and Australia (CA: 5.8, UK: 5.3, AU: 5.8). Inflation pressure is rising in Sweden and Singapore (SE: 5.3, SG: 6.7). The narrative highlights mixed trends across the regions, with some countries experiencing positive growth and easing inflation pressures, while others witnessing increasing inflation pressure.
Global regime cockpit
The four signature views on one screen — where each economy sits, and which way it's leaning.
Growth × Inflation Quadrant
Where every covered country sits today. Top-right is Goldilocks, bottom-left is Stagflation. Dot ring shows growth/inflation momentum; hover for the read; click for the country sheet.
Goldilocks — strong growth, cool inflation
Overheating — strong growth, hot inflation
Disinflation — soft growth, cool inflation
Stagflation — soft growth, hot inflation
ring = momentum (green up / red down)
Fiscal × External Buffer
Sovereign resilience map. Top-right is resilient, bottom-left is fragile. Dot ring shows fiscal/external momentum; tracks ability to absorb shocks.
Resilient — healthy fiscal + external
Internal only — fiscal OK but external weak
External buffer — external OK but fiscal weak
Fragile — both weak; shock-prone
ring = momentum (green up / red down)
Inflation Ranking
Countries by inflation regime score.Higher = closer to target or cooling (green); lower = overheating or deflationary (red). ▲ = pressure rising.
Monetary Stance
Countries by monetary regime score.Higher = looser policy (green); lower = restrictive (red). Arrow = current trend.
Canada5.0
Switzerland5.0
United Kingdom5.0
Japan5.0
New Zealand5.0
Australia3.0
Hong Kong3.0
Israel3.0
Norway3.0
Sweden3.0
Eurozone2.0
United States2.0Dashed line = universe median (3.0).
Global momentum · ACMS
Ashenden Country Momentum Score (−100…+100). Ranked; the signature cross-country momentum model.
What Changed
Current trend-pressure radar from the latest regime snapshot. Shows which dimensions are moving now (not yet a historical delta tape).
Under watch
Countries where regime stress, dispersion or data quality needs attention first — ranked, deduplicated across the watchlist and stress signals.
Priority countries
Highest-ranked first. Each row opens the full country sheet.
United StatesRecession risk3.5Grw4.3
Infl5.0
Lab4.8
Mon2.0
Ext2.4
Fis2.5
Stress-biased regime: validate growth, inflation and policy sensitivity before using this as a positive macro backdrop.
monetary stance is restrictive
Next: Review stress drivers and recent releases before increasing macro confidence.
High riskdispersion 1.23growth momentuminflation trendcentral bank stance
EurozoneDisinflation4.4Grw4.1
Infl5.6
Lab5.2
Mon2.0
Ext6.0
Fis3.5
Mixed regime: usable for directional context, but monitor divergent dimensions and stale or missing inputs.
monetary stance is restrictive
Next: Review stress drivers and recent releases before increasing macro confidence.
Medium riskdispersion 1.38growth momentuminflation trendcentral bank stance
New ZealandDisinflation3.8Grw2.3
Infl5.8
Lab2.6
Mon5.0
Ext2.4
Fis4.8
Stress-biased regime: validate growth, inflation and policy sensitivity before using this as a positive macro backdrop.
growth regime is weak
Next: Keep in monitoring rotation and watch the next high-impact releases.
High riskdispersion 1.41growth momentuminflation trendcentral bank stance
NorwayDisinflation5.6Grw4.5
Infl5.6
Lab3.5
Mon3.0
Ext8.0
Fis9.1
Mixed regime: usable for directional context, but monitor divergent dimensions and stale or missing inputs.
monetary stance is restrictive; macro dimensions are internally divergent
Next: Check which dimension is driving divergence before drawing a broad country conclusion.
Medium riskdispersion 2.25growth momentuminflation trendcentral bank stance
SwedenRecession risk4.8Grw4.3
Infl5.3
Lab2.1
Mon3.0
Ext8.0
Fis6.2
Mixed regime: usable for directional context, but monitor divergent dimensions and stale or missing inputs.
monetary stance is restrictive; macro dimensions are internally divergent
Next: Check which dimension is driving divergence before drawing a broad country conclusion.
Medium riskdispersion 1.96growth momentuminflation trendcentral bank stance
+1 more countries not listed here
Next Macro Catalysts
Top scheduled releases coming up. Open the Calendar tab for the full 30-day window.
Regime Signals
Macro archetypes and cross-dimension patterns derived from the current regime snapshot.
Cross-dimension patterns
Specific combinations across the six regime dimensions that experienced macro readers track.
United States3.5Twin deficit pressure — fiscal and external both weak.
United Kingdom4.1Twin deficit pressure — fiscal and external both weak.
Hong Kong6.4Growth, inflation and labor all healthy — broadly stable expansion.
Israel5.3Growth, inflation and labor all healthy — broadly stable expansion.
Norway5.6Restrictive policy but inflation re-accelerating — credibility test.
Singapore7.2Growth, inflation and labor all healthy — broadly stable expansion.
Positive momentum
Countries with improving dimension trends.
Hong KongGoldilocks6.4Grw7.0
Infl6.7
Lab7.5
Mon3.0
Ext8.0
Fis6.0
Mixed regime: usable for directional context, but monitor divergent dimensions and stale or missing inputs.
Next: Check which dimension is driving divergence before drawing a broad country conclusion.
Medium riskdispersion 1.64growth momentuminflation trendcentral bank stance
EurozoneDisinflation4.4Grw4.1
Infl5.6
Lab5.2
Mon2.0
Ext6.0
Fis3.5
Mixed regime: usable for directional context, but monitor divergent dimensions and stale or missing inputs.
Next: Review stress drivers and recent releases before increasing macro confidence.
Medium riskdispersion 1.38growth momentuminflation trendcentral bank stance
AustraliaNeutral4.4Grw4.6
Infl5.8
Lab4.7
Mon3.0
Ext3.2
Fis5.3
Mixed regime: usable for directional context, but monitor divergent dimensions and stale or missing inputs.
Next: Keep in monitoring rotation and watch the next high-impact releases.
Medium riskdispersion 1.02growth momentuminflation trendcentral bank stance
SwedenRecession risk4.8Grw4.3
Infl5.3
Lab2.1
Mon3.0
Ext8.0
Fis6.2
Mixed regime: usable for directional context, but monitor divergent dimensions and stale or missing inputs.
Next: Check which dimension is driving divergence before drawing a broad country conclusion.
Medium riskdispersion 1.96growth momentuminflation trendcentral bank stance
New ZealandDisinflation3.8Grw2.3
Infl5.8
Lab2.6
Mon5.0
Ext2.4
Fis4.8
Stress-biased regime: validate growth, inflation and policy sensitivity before using this as a positive macro backdrop.
Next: Keep in monitoring rotation and watch the next high-impact releases.
High riskdispersion 1.41growth momentuminflation trendcentral bank stance
Divergence watch
High dispersion across the six dimensions; useful for macro inflection checks.
NorwayDisinflation5.6Grw4.5
Infl5.6
Lab3.5
Mon3.0
Ext8.0
Fis9.1
Mixed regime: usable for directional context, but monitor divergent dimensions and stale or missing inputs.
Next: Check which dimension is driving divergence before drawing a broad country conclusion.
Medium riskdispersion 2.25growth momentuminflation trendcentral bank stance
SwitzerlandNeutral5.3Grw4.7
Infl6.3
Lab1.1
Mon5.0
Ext8.0
Fis6.6
Mixed regime: usable for directional context, but monitor divergent dimensions and stale or missing inputs.
Next: Check which dimension is driving divergence before drawing a broad country conclusion.
Medium riskdispersion 2.16growth momentuminflation trendcentral bank stance
SwedenRecession risk4.8Grw4.3
Infl5.3
Lab2.1
Mon3.0
Ext8.0
Fis6.2
Mixed regime: usable for directional context, but monitor divergent dimensions and stale or missing inputs.
Next: Check which dimension is driving divergence before drawing a broad country conclusion.
Medium riskdispersion 1.96growth momentuminflation trendcentral bank stance
Hong KongGoldilocks6.4Grw7.0
Infl6.7
Lab7.5
Mon3.0
Ext8.0
Fis6.0
Mixed regime: usable for directional context, but monitor divergent dimensions and stale or missing inputs.
Next: Check which dimension is driving divergence before drawing a broad country conclusion.
Medium riskdispersion 1.64growth momentuminflation trendcentral bank stance
JapanGoldilocks5.7Grw5.5
Infl6.9
Lab5.3
Mon5.0
Ext7.9
Fis3.4
Broadly stable regime: suitable as macro context, with normal monitoring of incoming data.
Next: Keep in monitoring rotation and watch the next high-impact releases.
Low riskdispersion 1.42growth momentuminflation trendcentral bank stance