Poland PL

Currency: PLN. Central bank: Narodowy Bank Polski. PLN/USD: 0.2518.

Macro read

Consolidated decision read: what to monitor, why it matters, and where the data is still thin.

Regime scenario

Medium risk

Reflation

Growth at or above trend with inflation above target.

Growth Moderate 7.0 · Inflation Above target 5.5 · weakest: External 2.6, Fiscal 3.5

What to monitor: Check which dimension is driving divergence before drawing a broad country conclusion.

growth momentuminflation trendcentral bank stance

Where data is thin

IndicatorsPoland Composite leading indicator

Macro regime

Six dimensions, scored from 0 to 10. Radar shows the overall shape; cards show trend and label per dimension.

Growth

7.0Stable

moderate

Inflation

5.5Stable

above target

Labor

8.8Stable

tight

Monetary

5.0Stable

neutral

External

2.6Stable

vulnerable

Fiscal

3.5Stable

neutral

Key indicators

Cross-country comparable indicators with 5-year micro history. Latest bar in gold; missing indicators render with a baseline.

Poland GDP YoY

4.00%

Poland CPI YoY (national, GUS)

3.50%

Poland Unemployment rate

3.40%

NBP reference rate

3.75%

Poland 10y government bond yield

6.23%

Poland Current account % GDP

-3.36% of GDP

Poland general government debt % GDP (Maastricht, quarterly)

64.50% of GDP

Poland general government balance % GDP (4 quarters)

-6.70% of GDP

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