India IN

Currency: INR. Central bank: Reserve Bank of India. INR/USD: 0.0107.

Macro read

Consolidated decision read: what to monitor, why it matters, and where the data is still thin.

Regime scenario

Medium risk

Reflation

Growth at or above trend with inflation above target.

Growth Expanding 7.8 · Inflation Above target 4.7 · weakest: Fiscal 2.6, External 4.8

What to monitor: Check which dimension is driving divergence before drawing a broad country conclusion.

growth momentuminflation trendcentral bank stance

Where data is thin

IndicatorsIndia Retail sales volume MoM

Macro regime

Six dimensions, scored from 0 to 10. Radar shows the overall shape; cards show trend and label per dimension.

Growth

7.8Stable

expanding

Inflation

4.7Worsening

above target

Labor

8.0Stable

tight

Monetary

5.0Worsening

neutral

External

4.8Stable

balanced

Fiscal

2.6Stable

expansive

Key indicators

Cross-country comparable indicators with 5-year micro history. Latest bar in gold; missing indicators render with a baseline.

India GDP YoY

8.10%

India CPI YoY

5.54%

India unemployment rate (CMIE, unofficial)

5.00%

RBI policy repo rate

5.50%

India 10Y government bond yield

7.06%

India Current account % GDP

-0.32% of GDP

India Government debt % GDP

84.30% of GDP

India Fiscal balance % GDP

-7.40% of GDP

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