United Kingdom GB

Currency: GBP. Central bank: Bank of England. GBP/USD: 1.3277.

Macro read

Consolidated decision read: what to monitor, why it matters, and where the data is still thin.

Regime scenario

Medium risk

Recession risk

Weak growth with inflation above target — watch labor.

Growth Slowing 4.8 · Inflation Above target 4.8 · weakest: Fiscal 2.9, External 3.2

What to monitor: Keep in monitoring rotation and watch the next high-impact releases.

growth momentuminflation trendcentral bank stance

Macro regime

Six dimensions, scored from 0 to 10. Radar shows the overall shape; cards show trend and label per dimension.

Growth

4.8Stable

slowing

Inflation

4.8Worsening

above target

Labor

4.0Stable

softening

Monetary

5.0Worsening

neutral

External

3.2Stable

vulnerable

Fiscal

2.9Stable

expansive

Key indicators

Cross-country comparable indicators with 5-year micro history. Latest bar in gold; missing indicators render with a baseline.

UK GDP YoY

1.37%

UK CPI YoY (ONS D7G7)

3.50%

UK unemployment

4.70%

BOE Bank Rate

4.00%

UK 10y gilt yield

5.24%

UK Current account % GDP

-2.53% of GDP

UK Government debt % GDP

102.10% of GDP

UK Fiscal balance % GDP

-5.30% of GDP

Upcoming Events

Scheduled releases in the next 60 days. Click an event title to open the indicator detail when available.

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