United Arab Emirates AE

Currency: AED. Central bank: Central Bank of the UAE. AED/USD: 0.2724.

Macro read

Consolidated decision read: what to monitor, why it matters, and where the data is still thin.

Regime scenario

High risk

Hard landing

Growth contracting with inflation at or below target — a recession, not an inflation problem.

Growth Contracting 0.0 · Inflation On target 6.3 · weakest: Monetary 3.0, Labor 5.3

What to monitor: Review stress drivers and recent releases before increasing macro confidence.

growth momentuminflation trendcentral bank stance

Where data is thin

IndicatorsUAE 10y government bond yieldUAE Retail sales volume MoMUAE Composite leading indicatorUAE Residential property prices

Macro regime

Six dimensions, scored from 0 to 10. Radar shows the overall shape; cards show trend and label per dimension.

Growth

0.0Stable

contracting

Inflation

6.3Stable

on target

Labor

5.3Stable

balanced

Monetary

3.0Worsening

restrictive

External

8.0Stable

strong

Fiscal

7.8Stable

tight

Key indicators

Cross-country comparable indicators with 5-year micro history. Latest bar in gold; missing indicators render with a baseline.

United Arab Emirates GDP YoY

-2.10%

UAE CPI YoY

1.25%

UAE Unemployment

2.17%

CBUAE base rate (overnight deposit facility)

3.90%

UAE 10y government bond yield

missing

UAE Current account % GDP

13.30% of GDP

UAE Government debt % GDP

33.90% of GDP

UAE Fiscal balance % GDP

3.90% of GDP

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